NFL Week 11 Picks Against Spread Falcons

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Back-to-back weeks with a WINNER on Thursday Night Football thanks to Mike McCarthy deciding to go with an incomprehensible set of decisions in Seattle in a brutal lo s that might end the ' season. I backed the -2.5 on Thursday night, something you would have known if you were watching SportsLine on CBS Sports HQ ( Shane Prince Kids Jersey ).It didn't look great, with the Seahawks fumbling out of the gate and setting the Packers up for an early score and 7-0 lead. There are a bunch of plays that go into a single football game, and it's not fair to pinpoint one mistake by a coach, but the end of the game matters more and McCarthy turtled up at the worst po sible time in a building where he has a history of going heavily conservative. More on the NFL McCarthy's decision was a combo bomb: he decided not to challenge a questionable catch by that appeared to hit the ground because he didn't want to risk losing his last timeout, even though the Packers were holding a lead. Of course they gave up a touchdown several plays later. And then the ultimate mistake was McCarthy punting the ball on 4th-and-2 at midfield, despite only having one timeout and despite having on his side. The Seahawks would get the ball back, pick up two first downs and take knees to saunter out with a win.It's thievery and I don't care. It's also a reminder that when you're betting on a team remember just how important the coaching Cole Bardreau Kids Jersey aspect of these matchups are. Seahawks (-2.5)The Seahawks are 5-5 now and not dead at all when it comes to the NFC playoff race. It's interesting to look at this team and to presume that they're not going to make noise. I wouldn't count them out just yet. It's the perfect Pete Carroll team (and you can easily imagine them beating the the in a road playoff game on Wild Card Weekend). (-3.5) vs. Couldn't ask for a better spot than this one if you're taking a home favorite -- the only way it's better is if the Falcons are smaller favorites. But 3.5 or 4 or 4.5 are all fine with me too. Atlanta isn't a good team per se because of the things they don't do on defense with all the injuries they've already battled this season. Offensively, though, they can put up points and they're even better at home on the track, where they've only scored le s than 30 points once this season. Ultimately this season will probably be a disappointment for the Falcons, who have a long road to make the playoffs. But this is a do- Josh Bailey Kids Jersey or-die situation for them -- win and they're back to 5-5 and in the mix in terms of the NFC wild card if someone slips up. Lose and they're 4-6 and done. The Cowboys are a fraudulent team, but they just beat the in Philly on Sunday night so everyone thinks they're finding themselves and starting to be good on offense again. Dallas will get some points but they can't keep up with the Falcons, who everyone will be down on after they lost to the on the road in Week 11. Falcons win by a touchdown plus. (+2.5) at Mike Zimmer catching points after the bye? Yes, please. The Bears are a really good team. They are. (I feel like I wrote this same Adam Pelech Kids Jersey sentence last week, which is a little concerning.) But the Vikings are a team that could be closer to the and than the rest of the NFC teams fighting for the extra playoff spots. The Vikings are coming off a bye and it's an eerily reminiscent scenario to last year, when the Vikings had a late-season bye followed by three of four games on the road. We looked at that stretch and just wanted them to go 2-2 and the same is true this year. Last year the Vikings went 4-0 in that run and I think they can do the same thing this year, even though they have tougher matchups ( , Bears, Seahawks). is back and fully operational on defense and should be back and ready to roll on offense. The Bears' defensive line is a big problem for the Vikings offensive line and that's a big concern here. I don't think it's going to be a blowout but I will definitely take the points. (+3.5) at RamsThis is going to be one of the most exciting games of the season and there should be points galore with an over/under set at 63.5. It's a historically huge over/under and that means there could be tons of variance in terms of what the final score is. As such, I'm taking the points here with the Chiefs. I like them to potentially win outright anyway, but having the three and the hook makes me love Kansas City. I was on them in Mexico anyway at +2.5 and I like them even more at +3.5. (-2) vs. The idea that everyone, both public and the sharps, is on Tenne see terrifies me. The Titans are a really good team and is starting to get things really rolling on offense the last two weeks as he's gotten on the same page with Matt LaFleur. But this is another case of Indy and being undervalued. The Colts offensive line is playing excellent football led by and Robin Salo Jersey Frank Reich is dialed in as a play caller right now. The Colts can win this division and with Tenne see coming off its midseason Super Bowl after a win over the Patriots at home, I like the Colts to come out and win this game.

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