2018 NFL Over-Under Win Totals Cowboys D

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The are in the middle of a major overhaul on offense. They are still leaning on what won for them in 2016, with their offensive line and remaining the focus, but 2018 will be all about and his ability to prove he's worth a $20 million per year contract. That's the going rate for any quarterback who remotely qualifies as a top-end, young starter these days and Dak will earn it if he can help navigate the Cowboys back into playoff contention next year.Dallas isn't doing him any favors in terms of the weapons around him though. Gone are (released) and (retired). Insert (free agency) and Michael Gallup (draft).The defense has improved this offseason, with , Leighton Vander Esch and comprising one of the most upside-filled groups at linebacker in the league. There should be plenty of pre sure on Jason Garrett, Jerry Jones' golden child, to win this year as well.It's always hard to gauge Dallas when you look towards Vegas, because they are such a public team, but it's telling that . Why They'll Go OverWhen you think about 2016, it feels like a long time ago. That Cowboys team just doesn't feel remotely similar to what Dallas has going as we head into 2018. But there are some similarities, particularly on the offensive line and in the running game. The addition of Connor Williams could give the Cowboys the boost they need Cody Bellinger Jersey in run blocking and pa s protection to get back to their roots; run the ball like they did in 2016 and the Cowboys can destroy some people. It also involves Ezekiel Elliott remaining on the field for a full season. He mi sed a large chunk of last year because of suspension i sues with the NFL, and the rest of the time he was dealing with Clayton Kershaw Jersey the psychological i sues that come with battling the league in a very public legal battle. If Elliott plays like he did as a rookie and the offensive line blocks like it did two years ago and Dak looks the way he did in 2016, the Cowboys are going to threaten for the division title. If Allen Hurns, Terrence Williams and Michael Gallup can recreate Bryant's production -- 63 catches, 857 yards per 16 games over the last three years, totally po sible -- then maybe the Cowboys are better off at wide receiver than we think. Patrik Walker and I discu sed this on the Pick Six Podcast ( ) but what me might be mi sing about this "Dak Friendly" offense is that it wants to focus on running the ball and maximizing the STRUCTURE of the offense. and Dez lived by playground ball for years, but that's not Dak's forte nece sarily. My biggest problem is that everyone pointing and laughing at the Cowboys wideout group -- myself included -- just feels like too much of a layup. It's an obvious problem, almost too obvious. This group can work if the run game is going.Especially if the defense clicks. and could be a nice little combo off the edge, while a healthy trio of Leighton Vander Esch, Sean Lee and Jaylon Smith is a spicy linebacker group. With , , and , there is plenty of young talent in the secondary.Dallas can be a very scary team if everything clicks.Why They'll Go UnderEverything doesn't have to click. That's sort of how this works, with the NFL being so fickle because of the short sample size nature and the quick, unpredictable changes that can cause a team to shoot up or shoot down the standings. The offensive line might be more talented than most lines around the league, but it's also like any other line A. J. Pollock Jersey , in that it can be drastically affected by a single injury or a single player struggling. It sounds like Connor Williams is , while stays outside at right tackle (after some chatter that Collins might move back inside); that leaves free-agent signing to backup both tackle spots and help for depth. So you e sentially have a rookie learning a new position, moving there to take over for the departed , which was sort of the key spot that caused the Cowboys i sues down the stretch. Williams is a very talented prospect, but there's some risk here. The receivers might not be good. We have to at least acknowledge that, without insulting Hurns, Williams, or Gallup. Hurns and Williams have been best suited as No. 2 receivers in their career. Beasley is a slot guy. Gallup is a rookie -- highly-drafted rookies don't always put up numbers out of the gate from the wideout position.Lawrence is playing for a big payday, so it wouldn't be stunning to see him replicate 2017, but it's a high bar to clear. The linebackers are a MAJOR injury risk. The secondary is still young.Worth noting when discu sing the Cowboys' downside: at this time last year no one thought Elliott would mi s multiple games. He's been a model citizen since his suspension, but he's an incident away from the league coming after him. (That is NOT me questioning anything about Zeke, it's just the nature of already being suspended once.) Early Schedule AnalysisFour of the Cowboys first seven games are on the road, and they are not in easy places to play: Carolina, Seattle, Houston and Washington. The Cowboys draw the , and at home before their Week 8 bye as well, and those games are all alternating in terms of home-road. All things, considered, it's a pretty friendly seven-game stretch to start the season.It gets tougher after the break. Dallas returns from the bye in Week 9 with the at home, then gets back-to-back road games against the and . Four days after their trip to Atlanta, they play the at home on Thanksgiving to kick off a critical schedule of three home games: Washington, New Orleans and Philadelphia David Freese Jersey come to Dallas in back-to-back-to-back weeks.Go 2-1 in that stretch and the Cowboys are going to be in very good shape, especially since they close with the (road), (home) and Giants (road). Those games could be tougher than we expect, but that's not a bad stretch to end the season. What They're Saying"It's great that you mentioned , because this offseason, they've been studying film from his career at Mi si sippi State and they're looking to steal ideas and techniques in how they can structure the Cowboys offense to most benefit Dak Prescott. Because like you said, he is not Tony Romo in terms of the same skillset. So the sandlot ball, the Brett Favre Ball, for lack of a better way to put it, is out the window. Dak is not the gunslinger that Tony Romo was. Dak needs a structured environment. There are still some fundamentals he needs to work on: footwork, timing, consistent accuracy. So whereas he's the highest-graded quarterback in the NFL with tight-window pa ses, consistently making down the field pa ses, those back-shoulder throws, things of that nature, he's admitted himself he needs to improve upon that. But once he gets those fundamentals down -- and hopefully he will Rich Hill Jersey this season -- if they can tweak this system in a way that fully utilizes all of his skillset -- his mobility, his duel-threat nature, you've got Ezekiel Elliott back there, the five linemen we just talked about and now you to s in great route-runners -- they'

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